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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 75.74
Price - 52 Week High: 90.02
Price - 52 Week Low: 65.07
Price Date (Latest): 11/12/18
Median Price Target: 85.29
Diff from Prev Close: 9.55
% Difference: 12.60

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.13

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 14.23
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 29.22
Yield (%): 4.22

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.39 5.06 3.43 4.67 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.75 4.32 2.93 3.87 4 -- 2 -10.54
Annual 12/1/18 3.05 3.26 2.92 3.01 4 -- 2 -1.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 1.15 0.87 0.94 3 -- 2 -6.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- 1 -34.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- 1 -23.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- 1 -65.85
Long Term Growth 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 2.03 6.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 0.44 0.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 1.03 4.52
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 0.49 7.61
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.02 1.02 --

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.39
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 8.36 8.36 8.36 8.36 1 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 7.14 7.26 7.02 7.14 2 1 1 0.07
Annual 12/1/18 7.07 7.26 6.87 7.07 2 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.98 7.08 6.87 6.98 2 -- 2 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 7.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.89 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 7.28 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 7.03 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 7.39 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.60 7.60 7.60 7.60 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 7.43 9.98 5.97 6.35 3 1 2 2.42
Annual 12/1/18 5.99 7.47 5.24 5.27 3 -- 3 -1.11
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.62 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1 -- 1 --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Annual 12/1/15 4.54 3.81 19.26
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.70 1.68 1.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.56 1.51 3.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.76 4.13 3.40 3.76 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.55 3.93 3.20 3.50 6 2 -- 0.94
Annual 12/1/18 3.37 3.40 3.20 3.40 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.80 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 220.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 336.44 376.00 296.72 336.51 4 1 2 3.70
Annual 12/1/19 294.60 336.90 260.00 289.21 7 3 2 2.33
Annual 12/1/18 242.04 268.90 231.19 237.12 5 1 3 0.46
Quarterly 12/1/18 73.63 78.69 68.45 72.34 6 -- 4 -3.79
Quarterly 3/1/19 57.83 64.72 52.00 57.30 4 2 -- 0.26
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.28 95.62 78.86 83.33 4 1 1 -0.24
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.99 61.73 51.20 58.05 3 2 -- 1.54

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 162.06 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 44.64 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 76.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 45.94 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 71.91 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 360.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 495.11 509.20 473.00 503.14 3 1 -- 0.00
Annual 12/1/19 451.63 471.00 393.00 459.08 7 4 1 0.74
Annual 12/1/18 389.23 395.00 385.14 388.83 6 1 3 -0.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 111.78 117.00 109.27 111.13 6 -- 3 -1.90
Quarterly 3/1/19 100.87 104.00 96.71 101.38 4 2 -- 0.30
Quarterly 6/1/19 128.97 132.76 120.87 131.13 4 1 1 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/19 101.51 104.90 98.62 101.00 3 2 -- 1.15

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 325.07 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 113.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 81.73 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 106.28 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.25 5.06 3.43 4.25 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.50 4.07 2.93 3.49 3 -- 2 -15.06
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 3.26 2.92 2.95 3 -- 2 -1.75
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 1.15 0.87 0.94 3 -- 2 -6.76
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- 1 -34.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- 1 -23.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.41 0.41 0.41 0.41 1 -- 1 -65.85

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.41 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,533.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,343.60 2,343.60 2,343.60 2,343.60 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,956.80 2,383.80 1,529.80 1,956.80 2 2 -- 23.35
Annual 12/1/18 1,950.70 2,325.90 1,575.50 1,950.70 2 1 1 19.72
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,954.70 2,325.90 1,583.50 1,954.70 2 1 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Annual 12/1/15 1,375.42 1,412.70 -2.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,607.40 1,594.10 0.83
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,613.01 1,474.30 9.41
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,590.26 1,428.90 11.29
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,479.10 3.70

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 224.67 261.00 177.50 235.52 3 -- 1 -0.72
Annual 12/1/19 185.46 210.10 151.40 186.00 5 -- 3 -3.51
Annual 12/1/18 155.73 167.90 148.70 153.15 4 -- 3 -1.64
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.56 59.30 43.23 51.85 4 -- 2 -4.19
Quarterly 3/1/19 31.77 36.44 27.10 31.77 2 1 1 0.06
Quarterly 6/1/19 58.00 66.40 49.60 58.00 2 -- 2 -1.23
Quarterly 9/1/19 26.74 32.47 21.00 26.74 2 1 1 4.44

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 111.51 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 26.79 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 55.55 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 52.34 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 267.70 267.70 267.70 267.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 242.00 242.00 242.00 242.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 41.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 61.80 61.80 61.80 61.80 1 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/19 66.30 81.50 51.10 66.30 2 1 1 -1.81
Annual 12/1/18 60.93 73.59 41.10 68.10 3 -- 3 -1.15

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 28.56 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,184.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,624.78 1,637.20 1,606.00 1,631.13 3 2 -- 5.14
Annual 12/1/19 1,436.35 1,554.60 1,247.00 1,449.00 7 4 1 1.42
Annual 12/1/18 1,270.73 1,285.90 1,258.00 1,269.70 6 3 3 0.40
Quarterly 12/1/18 363.55 371.34 353.80 363.92 6 1 3 -0.41
Quarterly 3/1/19 349.40 365.30 309.09 361.61 4 2 -- 0.09
Quarterly 6/1/19 385.44 405.80 348.56 393.70 4 2 -- 0.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 347.12 357.59 331.60 352.18 3 2 -- 1.39

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Annual 12/1/15 1,092.12 1,092.57 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/18 292.25 277.52 5.31
Quarterly 6/1/18 333.93 329.64 1.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 288.37 283.41 1.75
Quarterly 12/1/17 345.18 334.44 3.21

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 24.82 -40.46 -0.61
FY1 20.21 15.04 1.34
FY2 17.26 85.62 0.20

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 0.39 9.82 0.91
FY2/FY1 22.82 -4.44 1.29
FY3/FY2 22.82 -4.44 1.29

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