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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 82.94
Price - 52 Week High: 90.02
Price - 52 Week Low: 64.40
Price Date (Latest): 4/12/19
Median Price Target: 88.50
Diff from Prev Close: 5.56
% Difference: 6.70

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.86

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.37
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.12
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 28.08
Yield (%): 4.06

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.27 3.27 3.27 3.27 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.59 4.72 2.80 3.43 4 1 2 1.47
Annual 12/1/19 2.83 4.01 2.26 2.52 4 -- 4 -15.96
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.47 0.69 0.35 0.38 3 -- 1 8.10
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.04 1.24 0.87 1.01 3 1 -- 12.02
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.47 0.80 0.30 0.32 3 1 -- 35.56
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.97 1.28 0.74 0.89 3 -- 1 11.86
Long Term Growth 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 0.93 6.45
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 0.44 0.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 1.03 4.52
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 0.49 7.61

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.37 7.49 7.24 7.37 2 -- 1 -5.91
Annual 12/1/19 7.55 7.86 7.24 7.55 2 1 1 5.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 7.76 8.57 6.95 7.76 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 7.94 8.58 7.30 7.94 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.57 7.92 7.21 7.57 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.71 7.82 7.60 7.71 2 2 -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.89 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 7.28 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 7.03 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 10.52 16.67 7.10 7.79 3 -- 1 -7.32
Annual 12/1/19 7.85 10.11 6.38 7.05 3 3 -- 4.38
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1 1 -- 17.69
Quarterly 6/1/19 2.09 2.09 2.09 2.09 1 1 -- 13.88
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.51 1.51 1.51 1.51 1 1 -- 18.54
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.98 1.98 1.98 1.98 1 -- -- 13.64

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 1.63 14.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.82 1.06 71.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.70 1.68 1.19

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.80 4.21 3.60 3.70 6 3 -- 4.81
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 6 4 1 1.53
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- 1 -3.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- 1 -3.33
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- 1 -3.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- 1 -3.33

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.85 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 315.01 381.60 289.89 302.87 6 2 2 -4.85
Annual 12/1/19 272.38 340.50 254.40 255.02 6 1 5 -7.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 54.25 67.60 49.00 52.55 6 -- 4 -5.16
Quarterly 6/1/19 83.87 98.10 75.27 81.38 6 2 2 -2.06
Quarterly 9/1/19 54.50 74.20 45.62 52.12 6 1 3 -5.24
Quarterly 12/1/19 79.93 100.60 69.53 77.71 6 -- 3 -12.04

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 76.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 45.94 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 505.15 515.00 498.63 503.25 6 -- 2 1.04
Annual 12/1/19 465.95 470.89 463.00 465.57 6 6 -- 0.95
Quarterly 3/1/19 102.94 107.00 98.80 102.83 6 -- 1 3.11
Quarterly 6/1/19 131.95 135.50 127.31 132.80 6 -- 1 2.24
Quarterly 9/1/19 103.60 109.47 99.00 103.14 6 -- 1 2.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 127.45 131.80 121.95 127.73 6 -- 1 -2.93

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 113.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 81.73 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.82 7.93 2.92 4.22 4 1 1 34.89
Annual 12/1/19 2.98 4.01 2.26 2.67 3 -- 3 -2.01
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.49 0.69 0.35 0.42 3 -- 1 10.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.04 1.24 0.87 1.02 3 1 -- 12.30
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.48 0.80 0.30 0.35 3 1 -- 36.90
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.22 1.97 0.74 1.08 4 -- 1 29.63

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,243.25 2,304.20 2,182.30 2,243.25 2 -- 1 12.72
Annual 12/1/19 2,298.70 2,322.30 2,275.10 2,298.70 2 1 1 13.31
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,311.10 2,311.10 2,311.10 2,311.10 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,302.80 2,302.80 2,302.80 2,302.80 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,324.00 2,324.00 2,324.00 2,324.00 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1,915.50 2,322.30 1,508.70 1,915.50 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,954.70 19.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,607.40 1,594.10 0.83
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,613.01 1,474.30 9.41
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,590.26 1,428.90 11.29

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 229.89 374.43 151.00 214.98 6 -- 2 2.29
Annual 12/1/19 165.97 208.70 117.00 169.09 4 -- 4 -12.56
Quarterly 3/1/19 35.91 67.92 18.00 28.86 4 -- 1 10.31
Quarterly 6/1/19 57.29 66.35 45.00 58.90 4 -- 1 -3.56
Quarterly 9/1/19 27.11 41.70 16.00 25.37 4 -- 1 5.49
Quarterly 12/1/19 62.13 94.86 39.00 64.47 5 -- 1 4.49

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 22.59 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 55.55 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.34 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 267.70 267.70 267.70 267.70 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 68.65 99.30 38.00 68.65 2 -- 1 -15.37
Annual 12/1/19 53.67 88.90 26.70 45.41 3 1 1 -25.49

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 -- --
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,656.14 1,727.90 1,606.00 1,644.54 6 2 -- 0.46
Annual 12/1/19 1,558.10 1,608.70 1,512.00 1,560.78 6 6 -- 2.70
Quarterly 3/1/19 363.68 372.20 356.83 362.65 6 4 -- 3.33
Quarterly 6/1/19 403.80 424.70 393.00 400.99 6 4 -- 3.25
Quarterly 9/1/19 360.41 373.60 345.00 360.61 6 4 -- 3.63
Quarterly 12/1/19 430.30 439.80 418.00 430.91 6 2 1 -1.50

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 365.19 -1.27
Quarterly 9/1/18 292.25 277.52 5.31
Quarterly 6/1/18 333.93 329.64 1.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 288.37 283.41 1.75

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 29.31 -105.92 -0.28
FY1 23.09 20.81 1.11
FY2 25.36 21.28 1.19

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -6.92 -9.97 1.03
FY2/FY1 26.94 24.38 1.02
FY3/FY2 26.94 24.38 1.02

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