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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 81.53
Price - 52 Week High: 90.02
Price - 52 Week Low: 64.40
Price Date (Latest): 8/23/19
Median Price Target: 89.33
Diff from Prev Close: 7.80
% Difference: 9.57

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.22
Yield (%): 4.55

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.32 3.32 3.32 3.32 1 1 -- 1.75
Annual 12/1/20 3.31 3.89 2.76 3.30 4 2 2 -18.30
Annual 12/1/19 2.70 2.87 2.36 2.86 3 1 1 -0.10
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 1 1 -- 12.12
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 1 -- 1 -23.36
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.64 1.02 0.38 0.52 3 1 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.07 1.47 0.83 0.90 3 -- 1 -3.32

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.47 20.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 0.93 6.45
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 0.44 0.76

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.64 8.03 7.25 7.64 2 1 -- 0.39
Annual 12/1/19 7.63 8.00 7.25 7.63 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 7.95 7.97 7.93 7.95 2 1 -- 4.67
Quarterly 12/1/19 7.87 7.93 7.80 7.87 2 1 -- 1.22

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 7.07 29.51
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 6.98 5.82
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 6.95 3.86
Quarterly 6/1/19 8.46 7.87 7.45
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.56 7.76 10.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 6.98 31.18
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.89 6.85 0.63

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 9.01 11.53 7.65 7.86 3 2 1 -0.55
Annual 12/1/19 7.48 8.43 6.97 7.05 3 2 1 -0.40
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.82 1.82 1.82 1.82 1 1 -- 1.11
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.11 2.11 2.11 2.11 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.53 1.53 1.53 1.53 1 1 -- 6.25
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1 1 -- 5.38

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.05 1.46 -28.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 1.63 14.72
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.82 1.06 71.70

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 4.36 4.36 4.36 4.36 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.79 4.20 3.60 3.70 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 3.37 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 3.20 --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 3.00 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.85 0.85 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 322.94 332.54 313.35 322.94 2 2 -- 7.54
Annual 12/1/20 302.61 316.08 295.12 299.25 6 3 2 -0.14
Annual 12/1/19 269.88 284.63 263.70 268.11 6 4 1 1.97
Quarterly 3/1/20 64.79 71.34 61.33 61.70 3 1 2 2.44
Quarterly 6/1/20 88.28 93.72 78.50 92.63 3 1 1 -4.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 54.42 62.86 48.20 53.75 6 2 3 1.12
Quarterly 12/1/19 75.34 79.53 70.36 75.65 6 1 4 -1.47

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 241.48 -11.27
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 223.68 -1.61
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 211.44 1.12
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.32 78.09 9.25
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.96 54.46 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 73.06 -29.47
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.10 43.20 -7.18

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 531.00 531.00 531.00 531.00 1 1 -- 0.32
Annual 12/1/20 505.25 515.10 495.90 506.88 6 3 2 -0.46
Annual 12/1/19 475.99 484.60 464.70 477.45 6 4 1 0.76
Quarterly 3/1/20 116.77 119.08 115.24 116.00 3 1 -- 0.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 138.02 140.72 133.90 139.45 3 -- 1 -3.97
Quarterly 9/1/19 106.46 113.77 101.40 105.81 6 2 2 1.10
Quarterly 12/1/19 126.78 128.84 122.67 127.13 6 1 3 -0.35

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 390.20 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 355.16 1.60
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 344.46 1.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 144.53 129.47 11.64
Quarterly 3/1/19 114.86 103.15 11.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 109.99 -1.17
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.66 79.70 6.23

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.45 3.86 2.76 3.73 3 1 2 -22.18
Annual 12/1/19 2.88 2.88 2.87 2.88 2 1 1 -20.21
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 1 1 -- 10.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.61 2.10 1.11 1.61 2 -- 1 21.59
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.65 1.02 0.42 0.52 3 2 1 2.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.08 1.47 0.83 0.94 3 1 1 -2.11

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 2.98 72.48
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 3.04 12.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 3.48 -10.63
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.49 17.12
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 0.93 232.26
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 0.44 0.76

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 2,322.00 2,436.50 2,207.50 2,322.00 2 1 1 1.70
Annual 12/1/19 2,263.65 2,337.30 2,190.00 2,263.65 2 1 1 -3.43
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,343.65 2,494.50 2,192.80 2,343.65 2 -- 1 -3.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,329.05 2,468.10 2,190.00 2,329.05 2 -- 1 -3.39

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,390.26 2,419.80 -1.22
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,390.31 2,311.10 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,954.70 19.63
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,607.40 1,594.10 0.83

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 199.46 199.46 199.46 199.46 1 -- 1 -0.19
Annual 12/1/20 237.21 357.71 185.72 197.45 6 2 3 -0.88
Annual 12/1/19 137.02 140.70 133.37 137.00 3 1 2 -20.30
Quarterly 3/1/20 52.01 84.53 32.91 38.60 3 1 2 2.25
Quarterly 6/1/20 73.06 99.91 55.30 63.96 3 1 1 12.26
Quarterly 9/1/19 30.10 52.80 21.00 23.30 4 2 2 2.33
Quarterly 12/1/19 59.83 87.24 42.00 50.70 5 2 2 -1.61

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 152.43 2.69
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 153.91 1.44
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 171.37 -7.01
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.38 52.55 -6.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.41 27.85 5.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 46.81 9.07
Quarterly 9/1/18 22.59 21.41 5.52

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 269.10 269.10 269.10 269.10 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 62.20 77.80 46.60 62.20 2 -- -- -0.88
Annual 12/1/19 50.27 70.70 33.80 46.32 3 -- -- 1.25

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 63.42 -26.49
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 61.66 -19.81
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 60.85 -18.21

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,706.67 1,706.67 1,706.67 1,706.67 1 -- 1 -0.30
Annual 12/1/20 1,658.32 1,713.10 1,631.00 1,645.31 6 4 2 0.12
Annual 12/1/19 1,583.00 1,606.90 1,570.00 1,579.31 6 4 2 0.79
Quarterly 3/1/20 388.82 397.40 375.00 391.44 4 1 2 0.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 425.56 429.60 419.96 426.34 4 1 2 -1.84
Quarterly 9/1/19 371.33 383.60 366.42 369.49 6 4 2 0.86
Quarterly 12/1/19 433.14 444.30 425.00 433.21 6 3 2 0.28

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Quarterly 6/1/19 407.72 399.42 2.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 370.78 363.77 1.93
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 365.19 -1.27
Quarterly 9/1/18 292.25 277.52 5.31

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 26.82 30.25 24.61

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.85 22.94 0.17

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