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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 85.84
Price - 52 Week High: 90.02
Price - 52 Week Low: 64.40
Price Date (Latest): 2/22/19
Median Price Target: 83.86
Diff from Prev Close: -1.98
% Difference: -2.31

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.86

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: 3.20
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 15.22
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 28.07
Yield (%): 3.73

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.15 4.75 3.36 4.34 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 3.60 4.10 2.76 3.78 4 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 2.99 3.04 2.92 3.00 4 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.93 0.99 0.87 0.93 3 -- 3 -4.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- 1 -34.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- 1 -23.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 1 -- 1 --
Long Term Growth 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 2.03 6.40
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 0.44 0.76
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 1.03 4.52
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 0.49 7.61
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.02 1.02 --

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.39
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 7.80 8.36 7.24 7.80 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 7.13 7.24 7.02 7.13 2 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 7.07 7.26 6.87 7.07 2 -- 1 -0.50
Quarterly 12/1/18 6.98 7.08 6.87 6.98 2 -- 2 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 7.40 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 6.89 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 7.28 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 7.03 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 7.39 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.76
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 11.29 14.98 7.60 11.29 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 7.50 10.05 6.11 6.35 3 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 6.24 7.45 5.27 6.01 3 -- 1 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.27 1.27 1.27 1.27 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Annual 12/1/15 4.54 3.81 19.26
Quarterly 9/1/18 1.82 1.06 71.70
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.70 1.68 1.19
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.56 1.51 3.31

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.20
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 3.61 3.85 3.40 3.60 4 -- 1 1.73
Annual 12/1/19 3.50 3.92 3.20 3.45 6 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/18 3.37 3.40 3.20 3.40 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.70 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.85 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 0.80 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 220.07
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 346.08 384.60 296.16 359.96 5 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 302.05 332.20 262.90 312.89 6 -- 2 -0.30
Annual 12/1/18 241.48 269.30 231.19 235.12 5 1 -- 0.03
Quarterly 12/1/18 73.06 78.80 67.87 73.00 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 58.06 64.18 52.00 58.03 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 86.72 95.56 78.86 84.97 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 59.02 73.80 47.10 58.02 5 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 162.06 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 40.10 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 76.70 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 45.94 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 71.91 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 360.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 502.52 513.00 483.00 505.50 5 -- 1 0.27
Annual 12/1/19 460.33 462.98 456.20 460.50 6 -- 3 -0.25
Annual 12/1/18 390.20 393.00 388.61 389.64 6 1 -- 0.01
Quarterly 12/1/18 109.99 112.00 108.58 109.55 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 98.89 103.00 92.50 101.04 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 128.19 132.76 120.87 130.00 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 101.31 104.90 96.00 102.28 5 -- 1 --

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 325.07 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 84.66 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 113.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 81.73 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 106.28 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.43
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 4.06 4.75 3.36 4.06 2 -- 2 -0.86
Annual 12/1/19 3.47 4.10 2.76 3.55 3 1 2 -1.06
Annual 12/1/18 2.98 3.04 2.92 2.98 3 1 2 -0.45
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.93 0.99 0.87 0.93 3 -- 3 -4.30
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 1 -- 1 -34.62
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1 -- 1 -23.96
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 1 -- 1 -32.26

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 0.44 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 1.08 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 0.53 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 1.41 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,533.84
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,958.00 2,343.60 1,572.40 1,958.00 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 1,992.80 2,383.80 1,601.80 1,992.80 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 1,951.60 2,325.90 1,577.30 1,951.60 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1,954.70 2,325.90 1,583.50 1,954.70 2 1 1 --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Annual 12/1/15 1,375.42 1,412.70 -2.64
Quarterly 9/1/18 1,607.40 1,594.10 0.83
Quarterly 6/1/18 1,613.01 1,474.30 9.41
Quarterly 3/1/18 1,590.26 1,428.90 11.29
Quarterly 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,479.10 3.70

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 224.62 245.00 194.00 234.87 3 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 186.82 211.30 153.80 191.09 4 -- 1 -0.09
Annual 12/1/18 152.43 156.40 148.70 152.30 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 46.81 50.90 43.23 46.55 4 -- 4 -10.28
Quarterly 3/1/19 32.21 35.91 28.50 32.21 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 59.32 66.35 52.30 59.32 2 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 25.62 32.44 18.80 25.62 2 -- 1 --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 111.51 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/18 22.59 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/18 55.55 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/18 27.34 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/17 52.34 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/19 267.70 267.70 267.70 267.70 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 242.00 242.00 242.00 242.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 41.85
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 79.20 96.60 61.80 79.20 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 67.35 83.60 51.10 67.35 2 1 -- --
Annual 12/1/18 63.42 81.26 41.10 67.90 3 -- 1 --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 28.56 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,184.72
FY0 End Date: 12/1/17
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 1,651.40 1,706.10 1,606.00 1,646.75 4 -- 1 --
Annual 12/1/19 1,509.65 1,582.40 1,338.49 1,553.99 6 1 2 2.11
Annual 12/1/18 1,279.84 1,285.90 1,274.90 1,280.17 6 1 -- 0.18
Quarterly 12/1/18 365.19 371.34 360.20 365.39 6 1 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 350.47 364.60 309.09 361.00 5 -- 2 0.41
Quarterly 6/1/19 390.20 410.20 348.56 401.18 5 -- 1 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 347.80 372.40 303.63 352.06 5 1 1 1.76

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Annual 12/1/15 1,092.12 1,092.57 -0.04
Quarterly 9/1/18 292.25 277.52 5.31
Quarterly 6/1/18 333.93 329.64 1.30
Quarterly 3/1/18 288.37 283.41 1.75
Quarterly 12/1/17 345.18 334.44 3.21

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 23.82 38.87 0.61
FY1 20.69 76.88 0.27
FY2 -- -- --

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 20.55 -5.90 1.28
FY2/FY1 15.13 22.00 0.94
FY3/FY2 15.13 22.00 0.94

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