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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 86.42
Price - 52 Week High: 91.56
Price - 52 Week Low: 70.86
Price Date (Latest): 1/22/20
Median Price Target: 92.86
Diff from Prev Close: 6.44
% Difference: 7.45

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.14

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.22
Yield (%): 4.17

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.63 3.77 3.49 3.63 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.45 4.31 2.76 3.37 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.71 2.89 2.41 2.84 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.85 0.94 0.72 0.88 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.47 20.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 0.93 6.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.63 7.20 6.05 6.63 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 6.48 7.20 5.76 6.48 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 6.63 7.23 6.03 6.63 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 6.89 7.78 6.00 6.89 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 7.07 29.51
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 6.98 5.82
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 6.95 3.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.05 8.03 -24.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 8.46 7.87 7.45
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.56 7.76 10.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 6.98 31.18

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.70 11.77 7.63 9.70 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 8.32 9.43 7.55 7.97 3 -- 1 -0.64
Annual 12/1/19 6.83 7.02 6.47 6.99 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1 -- 1 -2.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- 1 -2.22
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 1 -- 1 -1.73
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.52 17.11
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.62 1.98 -18.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.05 1.46 -28.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 1.63 14.72

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.86 4.03 3.60 3.90 4 -- -- 1.51
Annual 12/1/20 3.73 3.97 3.60 3.70 6 -- -- 1.31
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 6 -- -- 0.05
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 3.37 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 3.20 --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 3.00 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 328.09 339.98 321.00 325.69 4 -- -- 1.22
Annual 12/1/20 308.67 327.40 297.00 309.70 5 -- -- 0.26
Annual 12/1/19 268.67 270.35 265.80 269.00 5 -- -- 0.16
Quarterly 3/1/20 62.74 68.20 57.42 62.60 3 -- -- -4.07
Quarterly 6/1/20 97.89 103.12 94.40 96.14 3 -- -- 2.75
Quarterly 9/1/20 66.27 72.30 60.61 65.89 3 -- -- -4.09
Quarterly 12/1/19 72.35 74.54 70.00 73.00 5 -- -- 0.76

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 241.48 -11.27
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 223.68 -1.61
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 211.44 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.50 52.48 7.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.32 78.09 9.25
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.96 54.46 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 73.06 -29.47

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 548.30 562.00 538.20 546.50 4 -- -- -0.29
Annual 12/1/20 524.73 539.00 511.90 524.92 6 1 1 0.17
Annual 12/1/19 497.50 512.00 483.00 497.50 2 -- -- 1.19
Quarterly 3/1/20 117.90 123.08 111.14 118.69 4 -- 1 -2.43
Quarterly 6/1/20 147.80 152.91 144.00 147.14 4 -- 1 0.68
Quarterly 9/1/20 116.90 120.00 111.71 117.94 4 -- 1 -1.94
Quarterly 12/1/19 127.68 134.00 123.10 127.62 6 -- -- 0.08

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 390.20 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 355.16 1.60
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 344.46 1.66
Quarterly 9/1/19 119.07 105.07 13.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 144.53 129.47 11.64
Quarterly 3/1/19 114.86 103.15 11.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 109.99 -1.17

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.54 3.58 3.49 3.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.51 4.31 2.82 3.41 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2.87 2.89 2.84 2.87 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.82 0.94 0.63 0.88 3 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 2.98 72.48
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 3.04 12.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 3.48 -10.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.49 17.12
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 0.93 232.26

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,407.20 2,436.50 2,377.90 2,407.20 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,329.30 2,468.60 2,190.00 2,329.30 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,190.00 2,190.00 2,190.00 2,190.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,479.53 2,343.65 5.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,390.26 2,419.80 -1.22
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,390.31 2,311.10 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,954.70 19.63

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 198.55 226.74 182.00 186.90 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 190.39 226.60 147.20 193.88 4 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 147.71 150.00 145.42 147.70 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 41.43 44.70 38.15 41.43 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 69.76 70.22 69.30 69.76 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 42.43 44.80 40.06 42.43 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 43.12 49.00 32.60 45.44 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 152.43 2.69
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 153.91 1.44
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 171.37 -7.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 22.35 22.14 0.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.38 52.55 -6.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.41 27.85 5.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 46.81 9.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.15 86.80 65.50 76.15 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 68.40 80.10 56.70 68.40 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 52.55 69.90 35.30 52.44 3 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 63.42 -26.49
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 61.66 -19.81
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 60.85 -18.21

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,741.51 1,780.67 1,660.00 1,762.69 4 -- -- 0.76
Annual 12/1/20 1,682.29 1,726.40 1,585.00 1,694.62 6 1 1 0.52
Annual 12/1/19 1,591.96 1,604.10 1,585.00 1,591.70 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 395.05 401.82 380.81 398.78 4 1 1 0.02
Quarterly 6/1/20 437.73 449.72 430.70 435.25 4 1 1 0.88
Quarterly 9/1/20 402.55 409.94 395.93 402.15 4 1 1 0.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 433.72 445.50 427.00 433.41 6 -- -- --

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Quarterly 9/1/19 379.79 370.69 2.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 407.72 399.42 2.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 370.78 363.77 1.93
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 365.19 -1.27

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.43 31.85 25.04

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.25 27.18 5.25

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