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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 87.65
Price - 52 Week High: 91.09
Price - 52 Week Low: 64.40
Price Date (Latest): 11/15/19
Median Price Target: 92.00
Diff from Prev Close: 4.35
% Difference: 4.96

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

1.86

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.22
Yield (%): 4.10

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.40 3.49 3.32 3.40 2 1 -- 0.59
Annual 12/1/20 3.43 4.68 2.76 3.14 4 2 -- 6.77
Annual 12/1/19 2.71 2.89 2.36 2.88 3 1 -- 0.25
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 1 1 -- 16.88
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.41 1.41 1.41 1.41 1 1 -- 27.03
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 1 1 -- 46.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.87 0.94 0.72 0.94 3 1 -- 4.42

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.47 20.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 0.93 6.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.63 7.20 6.05 6.63 2 -- 1 -16.03
Annual 12/1/20 6.48 7.20 5.76 6.48 2 -- 2 -13.08
Annual 12/1/19 6.63 7.23 6.03 6.63 2 -- 2 -13.11
Quarterly 12/1/19 6.89 7.78 6.00 6.89 2 -- 2 -12.51

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 7.07 29.51
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 6.98 5.82
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 6.95 3.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.05 8.03 -24.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 8.46 7.87 7.45
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.56 7.76 10.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 6.98 31.18

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.70 11.77 7.63 9.70 2 1 -- 28.14
Annual 12/1/20 8.22 9.43 7.55 7.67 3 2 1 -7.54
Annual 12/1/19 6.82 7.02 6.45 6.99 3 1 2 -8.86
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1 1 -- 1.10
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.14 2.14 2.14 2.14 1 1 -- 1.42
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.99 1 1 -- 1.53

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.52 17.11
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.62 1.98 -18.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.05 1.46 -28.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 1.63 14.72

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.92 4.36 3.60 3.80 3 -- -- -1.49
Annual 12/1/20 3.71 3.96 3.60 3.60 5 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 5 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 3.37 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 3.20 --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 3.00 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 324.00 336.12 315.28 322.30 4 3 -- 0.84
Annual 12/1/20 310.66 341.50 297.00 298.52 5 4 1 3.11
Annual 12/1/19 272.49 289.45 265.80 269.00 5 3 1 0.59
Quarterly 3/1/20 68.11 72.30 60.83 71.20 3 2 1 5.12
Quarterly 6/1/20 95.52 97.90 92.80 95.86 3 3 -- 8.20
Quarterly 9/1/20 67.87 76.70 62.53 64.37 3 2 -- 15.04
Quarterly 12/1/19 73.28 79.20 70.00 73.00 5 -- 5 -4.01

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 241.48 -11.27
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 223.68 -1.61
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 211.44 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.50 52.48 7.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.32 78.09 9.25
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.96 54.46 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 73.06 -29.47

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 544.61 562.00 533.62 538.20 3 2 -- 3.83
Annual 12/1/20 516.90 539.00 506.04 511.52 6 5 1 2.25
Annual 12/1/19 484.59 512.00 467.60 480.34 5 3 2 1.51
Quarterly 3/1/20 118.72 121.40 114.93 119.83 3 2 1 1.68
Quarterly 6/1/20 144.34 146.50 142.17 144.35 3 3 -- 3.40
Quarterly 9/1/20 116.22 122.40 110.66 115.60 3 2 -- 3.71
Quarterly 12/1/19 127.16 134.00 123.10 127.05 5 -- 3 -1.19

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 390.20 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 355.16 1.60
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 344.46 1.66
Quarterly 9/1/19 119.07 105.07 13.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 144.53 129.47 11.64
Quarterly 3/1/19 114.86 103.15 11.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 109.99 -1.17

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.54 3.58 3.49 3.54 2 1 -- 2.46
Annual 12/1/20 3.57 4.47 2.82 3.41 3 3 -- 7.21
Annual 12/1/19 2.87 2.89 2.84 2.87 2 1 1 -0.35
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 1 1 -- 14.29
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.83 2.30 1.36 1.83 2 2 -- 14.02
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.35 1.79 0.90 1.35 2 1 -- 94.93
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.82 0.94 0.63 0.88 3 1 2 -1.61

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 2.98 72.48
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 3.04 12.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 3.48 -10.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.49 17.12
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 0.93 232.26

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,407.20 2,436.50 2,377.90 2,407.20 2 1 -- 3.67
Annual 12/1/19 2,329.30 2,468.60 2,190.00 2,329.30 2 1 -- 2.90
Quarterly 12/1/19 2,190.00 2,190.00 2,190.00 2,190.00 1 -- -- -5.97

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,479.53 2,343.65 5.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,390.26 2,419.80 -1.22
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,390.31 2,311.10 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,954.70 19.63

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 193.05 210.24 182.00 186.90 3 2 -- -0.07
Annual 12/1/20 191.90 246.30 147.20 187.04 4 4 -- -10.38
Annual 12/1/19 143.22 150.00 134.60 145.06 3 -- 2 -4.01
Quarterly 3/1/20 42.15 47.40 36.89 42.15 2 2 -- 9.69
Quarterly 6/1/20 69.99 74.10 65.88 69.99 2 2 -- 13.56
Quarterly 9/1/20 57.09 82.66 35.70 52.90 3 2 -- 66.38
Quarterly 12/1/19 42.58 49.00 32.60 44.36 4 1 3 -2.09

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 152.43 2.69
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 153.91 1.44
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 171.37 -7.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 22.35 22.14 0.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.38 52.55 -6.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.41 27.85 5.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 46.81 9.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.15 86.80 65.50 76.15 2 -- -- 71.90
Annual 12/1/20 68.40 80.10 56.70 68.40 2 -- -- 13.25
Annual 12/1/19 52.46 69.90 35.30 52.18 3 -- -- 4.35

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 63.42 -26.49
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 61.66 -19.81
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 60.85 -18.21

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,709.03 1,753.30 1,660.00 1,713.78 3 2 -- 1.89
Annual 12/1/20 1,666.20 1,760.50 1,585.00 1,657.33 6 6 -- 1.06
Annual 12/1/19 1,591.96 1,604.10 1,585.00 1,591.70 6 5 1 0.57
Quarterly 3/1/20 392.94 406.70 379.00 393.03 4 4 -- 1.06
Quarterly 6/1/20 430.47 438.30 424.95 429.32 4 4 -- 1.15
Quarterly 9/1/20 395.98 415.40 382.00 393.26 4 2 1 1.28
Quarterly 12/1/19 433.72 445.50 427.00 433.41 6 4 1 0.13

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Quarterly 9/1/19 379.79 370.69 2.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 407.72 399.42 2.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 370.78 363.77 1.93
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 365.19 -1.27

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.83 32.36 25.55

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.40 26.67 -0.77

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