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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 89.53
Price - 52 Week High: 91.56
Price - 52 Week Low: 70.86
Price Date (Latest): 2/21/20
Median Price Target: 92.71
Diff from Prev Close: 3.18
% Difference: 3.56

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.14

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.22
Yield (%): 4.02

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.63 3.77 3.49 3.63 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.62 4.12 3.32 3.41 3 -- 1 4.84
Annual 12/1/19 2.70 2.89 2.41 2.79 3 -- 1 -0.61
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 -- 1 -3.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 1 -- 1 -4.55
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 -- 1 -3.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.89 0.94 0.83 0.89 2 -- 1 4.53

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 3.04 0.02
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.47 20.42
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 0.93 6.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.41 6.77 6.05 6.41 2 -- 1 -3.25
Annual 12/1/20 6.27 6.77 5.76 6.27 2 -- 1 -3.32
Annual 12/1/19 6.62 7.21 6.03 6.62 2 -- 1 -0.15
Quarterly 12/1/19 6.89 7.78 6.00 6.89 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 7.07 29.51
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 6.98 5.82
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 6.95 3.86
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.05 8.03 -24.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 8.46 7.87 7.45
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.56 7.76 10.31
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 6.98 31.18

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 10.77 13.91 7.63 10.77 2 1 -- 11.03
Annual 12/1/20 9.90 14.18 7.55 7.97 3 1 -- 19.04
Annual 12/1/19 6.81 7.02 6.47 6.94 3 -- 1 -0.24
Quarterly 3/1/20 1.90 1.90 1.90 1.90 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.20 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.70 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 2.01 2.01 2.01 2.01 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 5.25 9.78
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.52 17.11
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.62 1.98 -18.18
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.05 1.46 -28.08
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 1.63 14.72

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.91 4.03 3.60 4.00 4 1 -- 1.30
Annual 12/1/20 3.73 3.97 3.60 3.70 6 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 6 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 3.37 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 3.20 --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 3.00 --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 0.85 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 331.81 339.98 321.00 333.14 4 1 -- 1.14
Annual 12/1/20 309.89 327.40 297.00 309.70 5 1 -- 0.40
Annual 12/1/19 268.45 270.35 265.80 269.00 5 -- 1 -0.08
Quarterly 3/1/20 62.74 68.20 57.42 62.60 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 97.89 103.12 94.40 96.14 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 66.27 72.30 60.61 65.89 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 72.13 74.54 69.30 73.00 5 -- 1 -0.30

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 241.48 -11.27
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 223.68 -1.61
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 211.44 1.12
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.50 52.48 7.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.32 78.09 9.25
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.96 54.46 -0.90
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 73.06 -29.47

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 552.02 562.00 543.44 551.33 4 1 -- 0.68
Annual 12/1/20 532.25 565.90 518.10 524.92 6 2 -- -0.25
Annual 12/1/19 500.77 512.00 482.00 508.30 3 -- 1 -0.07
Quarterly 3/1/20 119.87 127.90 111.14 120.23 4 1 -- -0.60
Quarterly 6/1/20 150.30 154.00 145.59 150.80 4 1 -- -0.58
Quarterly 9/1/20 119.87 131.90 111.71 117.94 4 1 -- -0.91
Quarterly 12/1/19 128.63 134.00 123.30 128.78 6 -- 1 -0.14

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 390.20 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 355.16 1.60
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 344.46 1.66
Quarterly 9/1/19 119.07 105.07 13.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 144.53 129.47 11.64
Quarterly 3/1/19 114.86 103.15 11.35
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 109.99 -1.17

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.54 3.58 3.49 3.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.45 4.12 2.82 3.41 3 -- 1 -1.80
Annual 12/1/19 2.84 2.89 2.79 2.84 2 -- 1 -0.87
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 -- 1 -3.53
Quarterly 6/1/20 1.26 1.26 1.26 1.26 1 -- 1 -4.55
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.82 1 -- 1 -3.53
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.80 0.94 0.63 0.83 3 -- 1 -2.04

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 2.98 72.48
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 3.04 12.83
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 3.48 -10.63
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 1.11 -14.16
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 0.49 17.12
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 0.93 232.26

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,275.10 2,275.10 2,275.10 2,275.10 1 1 -- 1.11
Annual 12/1/20 2,383.90 2,383.90 2,383.90 2,383.90 1 1 -- -0.97
Annual 12/1/19 2,187.60 2,187.60 2,187.60 2,187.60 1 -- 1 -6.08
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 1,504.30 1.96
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,479.53 2,343.65 5.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,390.26 2,419.80 -1.22
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,390.31 2,311.10 3.43
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,954.70 19.63

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 198.55 226.74 182.00 186.90 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 191.51 231.10 147.20 193.88 4 1 -- 0.59
Annual 12/1/19 147.71 150.00 145.42 147.70 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 41.98 45.80 38.15 41.98 2 1 -- 1.33
Quarterly 6/1/20 70.31 70.40 70.22 70.31 2 1 -- 0.79
Quarterly 9/1/20 42.98 45.90 40.06 42.98 2 1 -- 1.30
Quarterly 12/1/19 43.12 49.00 32.60 45.44 4 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 152.43 2.69
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 153.91 1.44
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 171.37 -7.01
Quarterly 9/1/19 22.35 22.14 0.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.38 52.55 -6.03
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.41 27.85 5.58
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 46.81 9.07

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 79.00 92.50 65.50 79.00 2 -- -- 3.74
Annual 12/1/20 69.85 83.00 56.70 69.85 2 -- -- 2.12
Annual 12/1/19 52.41 69.50 35.30 52.44 3 -- -- -0.25

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 63.42 -26.49
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 61.66 -19.81
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 60.85 -18.21

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,759.71 1,826.10 1,660.00 1,776.37 4 1 -- 1.05
Annual 12/1/20 1,690.34 1,733.40 1,585.00 1,707.44 6 1 -- 0.48
Annual 12/1/19 1,591.98 1,604.10 1,585.00 1,591.75 6 1 -- 0.00
Quarterly 3/1/20 395.05 401.82 380.81 398.78 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 437.73 449.72 430.70 435.25 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 402.55 409.94 395.93 402.15 4 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 433.74 445.50 427.00 433.46 6 1 -- 0.00

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 1,174.99 0.83
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Quarterly 9/1/19 379.79 370.69 2.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 407.72 399.42 2.08
Quarterly 3/1/19 370.78 363.77 1.93
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 365.19 -1.27

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 29.45 33.20 24.75

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.80 34.15 0.40

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