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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 86.09
Price - 52 Week High: 91.56
Price - 52 Week Low: 64.40
Price Date (Latest): 12/11/19
Median Price Target: 91.71
Diff from Prev Close: 5.62
% Difference: 6.53

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.14

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.04
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: 3.60
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 23.22
Yield (%): 4.21

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.49 3.50 3.49 3.49 2 1 -- 2.63
Annual 12/1/20 3.39 4.31 2.76 3.25 4 1 1 5.12
Annual 12/1/19 2.72 2.89 2.43 2.84 3 1 1 0.39

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.04 2.99 1.68
Annual 12/1/17 3.04 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.99 -- --

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.15
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 6.63 7.20 6.05 6.63 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 6.48 7.20 5.76 6.48 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 6.63 7.23 6.03 6.63 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 9.15 7.07 29.51
Annual 12/1/17 7.39 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 6.05 8.03 -24.56
Quarterly 6/1/19 8.46 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 8.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 9.15 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.25
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 9.70 11.77 7.63 9.70 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 8.49 9.43 7.55 8.49 2 -- -- 3.45
Annual 12/1/19 7.01 7.02 6.99 7.01 2 -- -- -0.17

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 6.25 6.24 0.11
Annual 12/1/17 5.76 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 1.78 1.52 17.11
Quarterly 6/1/19 1.62 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 1.05 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 1.87 -- --

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.40
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.92 4.36 3.60 3.80 3 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.74 3.96 3.60 3.70 4 -- -- 0.75
Annual 12/1/19 3.59 3.60 3.55 3.60 4 -- -- -0.07

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 3.40 3.37 0.99
Annual 12/1/17 3.20 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.90 0.90 --
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.90 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.90 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 0.85 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 214.27
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 319.96 323.60 315.28 321.00 3 1 -- -0.79
Annual 12/1/20 305.08 327.40 297.00 297.96 4 1 1 1.41
Annual 12/1/19 268.25 269.59 265.80 268.80 4 2 -- -0.78

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 214.27 241.48 -11.27
Annual 12/1/17 220.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 56.50 52.48 7.66
Quarterly 6/1/19 85.32 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 53.96 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.53 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 388.78
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 544.61 562.00 533.62 538.20 3 1 -- 0.16
Annual 12/1/20 519.21 539.00 507.00 511.90 5 1 1 1.28
Annual 12/1/19 491.67 512.00 480.00 483.00 3 -- -- 1.64

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 388.78 390.20 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 360.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 119.07 105.07 13.32
Quarterly 6/1/19 144.53 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 114.86 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 108.70 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.14
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 3.54 3.58 3.49 3.54 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 3.51 4.31 2.82 3.41 3 -- 1 4.46
Annual 12/1/19 2.87 2.89 2.84 2.87 2 -- 1 -0.69

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 5.14 2.98 72.48
Annual 12/1/17 3.43 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 0.43 0.41 4.03
Quarterly 6/1/19 0.95 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 0.57 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 3.09 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 2,338.46
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 2,250.20 1 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 2,407.20 2,436.50 2,377.90 2,407.20 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 2,329.30 2,468.60 2,190.00 2,329.30 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 2,338.46 1,951.60 19.82
Annual 12/1/17 1,533.84 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 2,479.53 2,343.65 5.80
Quarterly 6/1/19 2,390.26 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 2,390.31 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 2,338.46 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 156.52
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 193.05 210.24 182.00 186.90 3 1 -- 0.85
Annual 12/1/20 186.97 226.60 147.20 187.04 4 1 1 3.99
Annual 12/1/19 147.59 150.00 145.06 147.70 3 -- 2 -1.08

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 156.52 152.43 2.69
Annual 12/1/17 156.12 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 22.35 22.14 0.95
Quarterly 6/1/19 49.38 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 29.41 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 51.05 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 36.93
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 76.15 86.80 65.50 76.15 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 68.40 80.10 56.70 68.40 2 -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 52.60 69.90 35.30 52.60 2 -- -- 4.17

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 36.93 63.42 -26.49
Annual 12/1/17 41.85 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,275.12
FY0 End Date: 12/1/18
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 1,709.03 1,753.30 1,660.00 1,713.78 3 1 -- 0.14
Annual 12/1/20 1,660.29 1,726.40 1,585.00 1,653.00 5 1 1 0.36
Annual 12/1/19 1,592.36 1,604.10 1,585.00 1,593.40 5 1 1 0.19

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/18 1,275.12 1,279.84 -0.37
Annual 12/1/17 1,184.72 -- --
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/19 379.79 370.69 2.45
Quarterly 6/1/19 407.72 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/19 370.78 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/18 360.57 -- --

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 12/1/21 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/20 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual 12/1/19 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

Fiscal Year FY0 FY1 FY2
Ratios 28.32 31.66 25.39

EPS Growth Rates

Fiscal YOY FY1/FY0 FY2/FY1 FY3/FY2
Growth Rate -9.05 24.71 3.03

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