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Earnings Estimates

Stock Information

Price (Prev Close): 65.03
Price - 52 Week High: 67.96
Price - 52 Week Low: 48.38
Price Date (Latest): 10/19/17
Median Price Target: 65.00
Diff from Prev Close: -0.03
% Difference: -0.05

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.89

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.11
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: 3.00
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 28.41
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: 29.11
Yield (%): 4.61

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.08 4.40 3.74 4.11 3 1 -- --
Annual 3.73 5.04 3.32 3.51 6 1 -- --
Annual 3.02 3.08 2.98 2.99 5 1 3 -1.64
Quarterly 0.64 0.94 0.51 0.60 5 -- 2 -2.66
Quarterly 0.98 1.35 0.84 0.90 5 -- 2 -4.85
Quarterly 0.59 0.68 0.54 0.55 3 -- 2 5.93
Quarterly 1.04 1.06 1.03 1.04 3 1 1 -2.08
Long Term Growth 15.51 15.51 15.51 15.51 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 2.98 4.50
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 2.03 6.40
Annual 12/1/14 1.72 1.50 14.92
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.92 1.02 -10.02
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.63 0.58 9.57
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.94 0.81 15.69
Quarterly 9/1/16 0.66 0.62 6.45

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.21
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 8.58 8.58 8.58 8.58 1 1 -- --
Annual 7.17 7.39 6.94 7.17 2 1 -- --
Annual 6.97 7.00 6.93 6.97 2 -- 2 -1.79
Quarterly 6.82 6.90 6.73 6.82 2 -- 2 --
Quarterly 6.95 7.00 6.90 6.95 2 -- 2 --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 7.40 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 7.86 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 7.14 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 7.00 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 7.21 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 6.87 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 5.72
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 6.69 6.69 6.69 6.69 1 1 -- --
Annual 6.88 8.96 5.83 5.85 3 1 -- --
Annual 4.90 5.32 4.14 5.25 3 1 2 -11.90
Quarterly 1.13 1.13 1.13 1.13 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.47 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1.21 1.21 1.21 1.21 1 -- 1 --
Quarterly 1.69 1.69 1.69 1.69 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 5.72 4.97 15.03
Annual 12/1/15 4.54 3.81 19.26
Annual 12/1/14 4.42 4.61 -4.05
Quarterly 6/1/17 1.47 1.46 0.68
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.75 1.07 -29.91
Quarterly 12/1/16 1.84 1.51 21.85
Quarterly 9/1/16 1.41 1.29 9.30

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.00
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 1 -- -- --
Annual 3.28 3.52 3.20 3.20 5 1 -- 0.53
Annual 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 5 4 -- 3.75
Quarterly 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 2 1 -- --
Quarterly 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 2 1 -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.00 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.70 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2.20 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.80 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.80 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.75 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 0.75 -- --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 213.81
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 279.60 285.00 270.81 282.98 3 -- 1 --
Annual 242.49 257.57 236.48 241.04 8 1 -- --
Annual 223.19 238.14 217.67 221.11 7 4 1 -0.85
Quarterly 45.90 50.14 42.92 43.90 7 2 4 -2.45
Quarterly 64.16 67.24 61.00 63.70 7 2 2 -1.71
Quarterly 45.67 50.90 37.79 44.60 5 -- 3 1.82
Quarterly 71.73 76.25 69.78 71.13 5 1 1 0.50

Actuals - EBIT

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 213.81 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 162.06 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 153.12 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 64.69 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 47.06 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 61.50 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 46.57 -- --

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 350.19
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 418.23 425.00 411.46 418.23 2 -- 1 --
Annual 377.29 386.00 366.10 377.10 8 1 -- 0.63
Annual 355.54 359.00 351.80 355.65 7 -- -- --
Quarterly 78.86 82.00 77.00 78.26 7 3 2 0.22
Quarterly 97.64 99.58 92.70 98.34 7 3 2 0.19
Quarterly 78.92 83.00 72.94 79.00 5 1 2 0.69
Quarterly 105.06 106.50 102.00 106.00 5 1 1 -1.11

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 350.19 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 325.07 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 291.08 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 98.49 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 80.56 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 94.67 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 83.05 -- --

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 3.11
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 4.07 4.40 3.74 4.07 2 1 -- --
Annual 4.11 5.85 3.32 3.51 6 1 -- --
Annual 3.01 3.08 2.98 2.99 4 1 2 -1.63
Quarterly 0.72 1.13 0.51 0.61 6 -- 2 -4.17
Quarterly 1.07 1.47 0.84 0.91 6 1 2 -4.79
Quarterly 0.75 1.21 0.54 0.62 4 -- 3 -5.59
Quarterly 1.21 1.69 1.03 1.05 4 1 1 11.62

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 3.11 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 2.16 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 2.17 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 0.92 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 0.63 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 0.94 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 0.66 -- --

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,443.43
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 621.00 621.00 621.00 621.00 1 1 -- --
Annual 1,420.15 1,430.00 1,410.30 1,420.15 2 2 -- 3.51
Annual 1,511.15 1,521.30 1,501.00 1,511.15 2 2 -- 4.01
Quarterly 1,498.70 1,498.70 1,498.70 1,498.70 1 1 -- --
Quarterly 1,485.90 1,485.90 1,485.90 1,485.90 1 1 -- --

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,426.05 1.22
Annual 12/1/15 1,375.42 1,412.70 -2.64
Annual 12/1/14 1,247.74 1,242.95 0.39
Quarterly 6/1/17 1,511.06 1,466.70 3.02
Quarterly 3/1/17 1,502.83 1,413.75 6.30
Quarterly 12/1/16 1,443.43 1,413.60 2.11
Quarterly 9/1/16 1,450.99 1,418.10 2.32

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 159.37
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 209.06 226.00 192.12 209.06 2 1 -- --
Annual 200.47 300.41 164.05 174.18 8 1 -- --
Annual 169.02 237.60 153.00 155.90 6 2 2 6.91
Quarterly 32.78 57.85 26.20 28.00 7 1 5 -11.27
Quarterly 51.02 75.42 43.21 47.00 7 1 5 -7.52
Quarterly 34.71 61.99 21.15 27.99 5 -- 3 -2.34
Quarterly 60.38 86.80 52.93 54.18 5 1 1 9.57

Actuals - Net Income

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 159.37 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 111.51 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 104.60 -- --
Quarterly 6/1/17 47.29 -- --
Quarterly 3/1/17 32.62 -- --
Quarterly 12/1/16 48.10 -- --
Quarterly 9/1/16 33.59 -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 242.00 242.00 242.00 242.00 1 -- -- --
Annual 220.00 220.00 220.00 220.00 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 42.64
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 55.10 55.10 55.10 55.10 1 -- 1 --
Annual 62.05 74.10 50.00 62.05 2 1 -- --
Annual 61.69 75.06 43.50 66.50 3 1 2 -0.11

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 42.64 -- --
Annual 12/1/15 28.56 -- --
Annual 12/1/14 18.05 -- --

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 1,149.21
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 1,294.06 1,328.11 1,260.00 1,294.06 2 -- 1 --
Annual 1,232.98 1,256.83 1,213.25 1,230.24 8 1 -- --
Annual 1,172.52 1,178.87 1,166.00 1,172.70 7 4 1 -0.14
Quarterly 268.01 277.32 261.00 266.89 7 -- 4 -0.97
Quarterly 329.66 335.74 325.00 329.10 7 -- 5 -0.45
Quarterly 278.84 283.51 271.92 279.26 5 -- 2 0.12
Quarterly 316.74 327.00 307.52 314.23 5 2 -- -0.03

Actuals - Sales

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 12/1/16 1,149.21 1,145.24 0.35
Annual 12/1/15 1,092.12 1,092.57 -0.04
Annual 12/1/14 1,040.99 1,033.87 0.69
Quarterly 6/1/17 298.78 296.07 0.91
Quarterly 3/1/17 276.04 270.23 2.15
Quarterly 12/1/16 319.78 315.62 1.32
Quarterly 9/1/16 271.72 271.79 -0.03

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Earnings Per Share (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Net Income (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Net Income (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

Reference Information - Sales (Parent)

Last Actual (FY0): --
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Hist (5 Yr) Stability %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales (Parent)

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Annual -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Quarterly -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Actuals - Sales (Parent)

Reported EPS Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --
12/1/00 -- -- --

P/E Ratios

P/E Ratios Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY0 21.56 18.29 1.18
FY1 17.42 87.97 0.20
FY2 15.93 51.20 0.31

EPS Growth Rates

Growth Rates Company Industry Ind. Relative
FY1/FY0 -3.04 6.80 0.91
FY2/FY1 23.80 2.90 1.20
FY3/FY2 23.80 2.90 1.20

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